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--- stories:tad_spicy [2021/03/31 02:12]
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+<<stories:toadily_nookular_deception_pass_11_13_2020|Previous Story^stories:bellingham_stories|Story List^gorge_like_port_susan|Next Story>>
 ====== A Tad Spicy/Weather Bomb 11/16/2020 ======
 **a tad spicey tomorrow\\
 Reivers Dustin** \\
-/16/20  #28065
+/16/20 #28065
-The barnacle run at 10 should be cool.  Bring phat boat.  Going at noon is maybe for the youngsters under 60.
+The barnacle run at 10 should be cool. Bring phat boat. Going at noon is maybe for the youngsters under 60.
 **gsouthstone** \\
-/16/20  #28067
+/16/20 #28067
-Cliff Maas  refers to the weather event as\\
+Cliff Maas refers to the weather event as\\
 "A Meteorological "Bomb" Will Hit Northern Vancouver Island On Tuesday", a "5-10 year event".\\
 The NW weather guru has spoken, read his blog. Watch the barometer plunge tomorrow. My barometers' lowest reading last winter was 982.\\
 Batten Down\\
-https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/
+[[https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/|https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/]]
 **Paul Reavley** \\
-/16/20  #28068
+/16/20 #28068
 For some of us this one may be one to grab by the tail instead of the horns (as Reivers' Uncle Claude recommended). As always timing remains to be seen. Some weather apps show gusts 50-60 mph at 10 am. Others show the main blow arriving later.
@@ Line 24: / Line 26: @@
 **Reivers Dustin** \\
-/16/20  #28069
+/16/20 #28069
-I’m seeing it now too.  Proly stand in my garage and try to find gear for some other hobby, then give up and mope around the\\
+I’m seeing it now too. Proly stand in my garage and try to find gear for some other hobby, then give up and mope around the\\
-house until Hilde starts giving me stuff to do.  Retirement is not for weenies.
+house until Hilde starts giving me stuff to do. Retirement is not for weenies.
 **Duncan Howat**
-/16/20  #28070
+/16/20 #28070
-Oh I don't know NOAA is only forecasting wind waves to 7 (seven) feet. Maybe before 10 am, so while the term "Spicy" may undermine and make it sound just kinda slightly above average, in truth it could be by Bellingham standards anyway, on the lower end of "Nuclear". As Paul says  "Just Saying" D
+Oh I don't know NOAA is only forecasting wind waves to 7 (seven) feet. Maybe before 10 am, so while the term "Spicy" may undermine and make it sound just kinda slightly above average, in truth it could be by Bellingham standards anyway, on the lower end of "Nuclear". As Paul says "Just Saying" D
 **Dennis Mowry** \\
-/16/20  #28071
+/16/20 #28071
 Here's the forecast from igetwind.com I fine it's very accurate.:D'
-https://igetwind.com/#
+[[https://igetwind.com/#|https://igetwind.com/#]]
 **Kimberly Reeves**
-/16/20  #28072
+/16/20 #28072
 I’ll fire up the computer and watch y’all on the webcam!\\
@@ Line 50: / Line 52: @@
 **David Hooper** \\
-/16/20  #28073
+/16/20 #28073
-Yeah, ALL the models on igetwind coalesce around peak winds from ~9 am - 12 noon, with gusts 50-60+ mph. Sure would be fun if we could get the 7 foot waves with only 15-20 knot winds...Just sayin'.
+Yeah, ALL the models on igetwind coalesce around peak winds from ~9 am - 12 noon, with gusts 50-60+ mph. Sure would be fun if we could get the 7 foot waves with only 15-20 knot winds…Just sayin'.
 Dave H.
@@ Line 58: / Line 60: @@
 **Reivers Dustin**
-/17/20  #28074
+/17/20 #28074
-kinda cool:  dead calm this morning when I got up.  Noticed the clouds were moving north pretty brisk.  Now I'm seeing gusts at my house (sehome ridgeline elevation).  The bay cam shows calm flat water, but if you look close, the camera and tower seem to be shaking a little bit.  So looks like the wind builds downward from higher elevations.  I've noticed before how my house will be shaking and wind is not down on the water.
+kinda cool: dead calm this morning when I got up. Noticed the clouds were moving north pretty brisk. Now I'm seeing gusts at my house (sehome ridgeline elevation). The bay cam shows calm flat water, but if you look close, the camera and tower seem to be shaking a little bit. So looks like the wind builds downward from higher elevations. I've noticed before how my house will be shaking and wind is not down on the water.
 **Duncan Howat** \\
-/17/20  #28075
+/17/20 #28075
 we all know why your whole house is really shaking.
 **Duncan Howat** \\
-/17/20  #28076
+/17/20 #28076
 on another note. Locust Beach wind graft
@@ Line 76: / Line 78: @@
 **Reivers Dustin**
-/17/20  #28077
+/17/20 #28077
-hehe!  a great compliment.  thx dunc.  truth is it's bad plumbing.  Not the house, but me.  I have to jump up and down to make the pee come out anymore.  Oh well.  like they say: "could get worse, probly will get worse ... if you are lucky."
+hehe! a great compliment. thx dunc. truth is it's bad plumbing. Not the house, but me. I have to jump up and down to make the pee come out anymore. Oh well. like they say: "could get worse, probly will get worse … if you are lucky."
 rd
 **sirhc dlowtret** \\
-/17/20  #28078
+/17/20 #28078
-FYI.  It does not look Heinous from Chuckanut bay.  Decent amount of Eastery to it.  I’d likely feel different if I was on the water....
+FYI. It does not look Heinous from Chuckanut bay. Decent amount of Eastery to it. I’d likely feel different if I was on the water….
 \\
 **David Hooper** \\
-/17/20  #28079
+/17/20 #28079
 It was sure ripping an hour ago, right on schedule, gusting to over 60. Now it's comparatively mellow - "only" 34 gusting to 47. Just saw the Electric Foil Guy go by on the webcam. But then, he doesn't have to paddle upwind.
@@ Line 97: / Line 99: @@
 **beau whitehead**
-/17/20  #28081
+/17/20 #28081
 Dan M, Colin & I launched from Wildcat (gate was closed there) about 9:15am. Smoke on the water, water blowing off the waves was hitting my face hard enough to hurt. Got scary by Post Point and we decided to bail-out at Marine Park and call for a ride back to Squalicum Beach where our cars were waiting. First time I've ever bailed mid-paddle, but I think it was a wise decision. I must be getting old. I've seen bigger waves on the bay, but the 60mph gusts were knocking them down today and it became more of a survival paddle vs a fun paddle at that point. My fastest mile was 6:15 & I saw 14mph several times.
 **beau whitehead** \\
-/17/20  #28082
+/17/20 #28082
 Collins video from today.
-https://vimeo.com/480574189
+[[https://vimeo.com/480574189|https://vimeo.com/480574189]]
 **Duncan Howat** \\
-/17/20  #28083
+/17/20 #28083
-Colin-Beau, great film, those were some of the nicest  waves I've seen filmed on the bay.   Bellingham Nukes. What did you estimate the tallest waves to be ?
+Colin-Beau, great film, those were some of the nicest waves I've seen filmed on the bay. Bellingham Nukes. What did you estimate the tallest waves to be ?
 **beau whitehead** \\
-/17/20  #28084
+/17/20 #28084
-That’s a good question and always hard to guesstimate... everything is “overhead” when you are sitting down out there(-: But I’d still say 5-6’ was probably max Duncan.
+That’s a good question and always hard to guesstimate… everything is “overhead” when you are sitting down out there(-: But I’d still say 5-6’ was probably max Duncan.
 **Tyler Irwin** \\
-/17/20  #28085
+/17/20 #28085
-That wave at 2:20... wowzers
+That wave at 2:20… wowzers
 **David Hooper**
-/17/20  #28086
+/17/20 #28086
 Well, you know if they still look big on the GoPro, they were much bigger actually in them. Nice ride, boys.
@@ Line 134: / Line 136: @@
 **a tad spicey tomorrow\\
-allipp@...** \\
+allipp@…** \\
-/18/20  #28087
+/18/20 #28087
-Chew on this one.  At 70 mph, the pressure exerted by wind is 12.5 lbs per square foot.  Assuming a surface area of around 20 sq ft of the canoe/ski and another few for your body it should be able to lift well over 250 lbs.  at 60 mph the load would be just over 70 percent of that (36/49). That comes out to approximately 185 lbs of force.  With Beau at 190 and his canoe at 20 lbs, there's not a whole lot of room for error.
+Chew on this one. At 70 mph, the pressure exerted by wind is 12.5 lbs per square foot. Assuming a surface area of around 20 sq ft of the canoe/ski and another few for your body it should be able to lift well over 250 lbs. at 60 mph the load would be just over 70 percent of that (36/49). That comes out to approximately 185 lbs of force. With Beau at 190 and his canoe at 20 lbs, there's not a whole lot of room for error.
 ----
@@ Line 145: / Line 147: @@
 {{:downwind:windpressure.png?direct&400x225}}
-<WRAP>
+</WRAP>
 ----
 **Paul Reavley** \\
-/18/20  #28089
+/18/20 #28089
-[[:surfski.wiki:doku.php?id=stories:saturday_morning_gusts_over_50mph|Waterspouts, etc. 2015]]
+[[:stories:saturday_morning_gusts_over_50mph|Waterspouts, etc. 2015]]
-Scroll down to M. Medler's and S. Scoggins' comments. "It was definitely interesting to go airborne..."  How much safety margin does Steve have?
+Scroll down to M. Medler's and S. Scoggins' comments. "It was definitely interesting to go airborne…" How much safety margin does Steve have?
 **David Hooper**
-/18/20  #28090
+/18/20 #28090
 Thanks for the link to the relevant thread, Paul. I stand corrected - evidently it was Scoggins, not Rievers, who got lifted by the waterspout. But it also sounds like many folks got blown out of their boats that day. Glad all was well after yesterday's rodeo.
@@ Line 166: / Line 168: @@
 **Nicholas Cryder**
-/18/20  #28092
+/18/20 #28092
 I don't head out if it's gusting above 50. The risks are just too high for the low fun factor, and survival paddling kinda sucks. I've noticed it's all but impossible to paddle upwind when it's above 50, so if someone has an issue - they are on their own, and it's essentially a group solo at that point.
-It's interesting to think about exactly what gusting means as well. Somedays, it rarely gusts... and then there are days when it's gusting the entire time. My all time days in Bellingham have been low gust vs sustained wind differential. For example; I've noticed with our "big" southerlies, 25 sustained with gusts to 50 is fairly common. That's a 50% differential. A medium sized day is often 18 gusting to low 30's. But when we get the NW winds, they tend to be 25 gusting to 30... so more steady wind, and the conditions are just all-time and super fun (as noted from the NW blow a few weeks ago).
+It's interesting to think about exactly what gusting means as well. Somedays, it rarely gusts… and then there are days when it's gusting the entire time. My all time days in Bellingham have been low gust vs sustained wind differential. For example; I've noticed with our "big" southerlies, 25 sustained with gusts to 50 is fairly common. That's a 50% differential. A medium sized day is often 18 gusting to low 30's. But when we get the NW winds, they tend to be 25 gusting to 30… so more steady wind, and the conditions are just all-time and super fun (as noted from the NW blow a few weeks ago).
 Nicholas Cryder
 **David Scherrer** \\
-/18/20  #28093
+/18/20 #28093
-He does have a pilot's license....
+He does have a pilot's license….
 **Duncan Howat** \\
-/18/20  #28094
+/18/20 #28094
-I was along side Pizza Steve that fateful day, and saw him get lifted with a 50 + gust, we were  headed to harbor,on a bit of a inside line as it looked really wild out where , I think Allan was. We were  in line with the community boat center. I said to myself at the time ,"dam I hope he can get back in cus I sure can't do a thing but go forward. But then he was fairly light back in those long remembered days. Don't think it scared him too bad at all. Maybe us all a little. Smaller Wave Dave
+I was along side Pizza Steve that fateful day, and saw him get lifted with a 50 + gust, we were headed to harbor,on a bit of a inside line as it looked really wild out where , I think Allan was. We were in line with the community boat center. I said to myself at the time ,"dam I hope he can get back in cus I sure can't do a thing but go forward. But then he was fairly light back in those long remembered days. Don't think it scared him too bad at all. Maybe us all a little. Smaller Wave Dave

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